My friend Chris Coffman linked to the “Top 10 Stories You Missed in 2009” on foreignpolicy.com. You missed them for a reason - most are relatively obscure matters of economics or ethninomics (neologism, copyright Jens Rushing), things which, let’s face it, no one cares about. But a few warrant discussion.
1. The Northeast Passage is open.
Two German ships traveled from Pacific Russia to Western Europe via the northern route, “over the top,” if you will, a route previously impassable due to polar ice. “There was virtually no ice most of the route,” said one of the captains. Hurrah! Now we can see a whole new era of exciting geopolitics as new shipping routes open up. Canada will continue to subsidize its impoverished and alcoholic Inuit population in order to maintain its claim over the northern reaches; despite, the claws of the Red Menace will stretch over the dwindling polar cap, seeking, seeking for capitalists ripe for the claw-raping. Exciting! And, as my Canuck friends never tire of telling me, they’re cheerfully dismantling what little navy they have, while paying way too much for obsolete British subs that they can’t maintain. And the Russians, who have traded Soviet imperialism for good old-fashioned Peter-the-Great capital-I Imperialism, couldn’t be richer or more powerful. They have a charismatic and beloved leader, and they have Western Europe by the teats - remember last winter when they “accidentally” shut off natural gas because of a “disagreement” with the Ukraine and the pipeline? And Western Europe went into convulsions? Yes, it looks like they’ll finally get to conquer the world. Bully for them!
Haha! I jest. In this age of contraction and dwindling resources, anything on a large scale - big box retail or global empire - is doomed to fail! So our affable neighbors to the north may be spared Russian hegemony, but they’ll be too busy scrounging for firewood and meat - whatever kind - to care.
2. A new flashpoint in Iraq.
So the leaders are corrupt or insane, and internecine war continues to tear the country apart, and civilians are still being blasted into oblivion in what was once the greatest city in the civilized world. Haha! What times we live in! No, that’s not enough. The Kurds, that Ethno-Iranian ethnolinguistic group that live in the north, have been feeling frisky and would like a slice of the oil-rich Nineveh region. You probably know the Kurds as the group that produced Ṣalāḥ ad-Dīn Yūsuf ibn Ayyūb, or Saladin, that most famous sultan who fought Richard the Lionheart and Robin Hood, personally. “The Flower of Islamic Chivalry,” whose death represented a turning point in the fortunes of the Muslim world, whom Sir Walter Scott invented as a charming, liberal gentleman, and whom William Monahan and Ridley Scott made a ridiculous saint. I vomited in disdain at the end of Kingdom of Heaven when Saladin releases the defeated Christian army for free; in real life, his mercy, while certainly exceptional for the time, was not so unalloyed by human characteristics. No, he set them free for a hefty price, and those who couldn’t pay the ransom were sold into slavery. Hey ho! History is a series of disasters and enormities, and those figures that approach nobility are ballooned into saints. Anyway, Iraq? Totally fucked. It was always a hornet’s nest; we just gave it a good stirring. Next!
3. A hotline for China and India.
The heads of state can call each other whenever they want now, just to talk. I wonder if the US feels left out when nuclear powers confabulate without them. Nah, they’ve got a lot to talk about. A border Himalayan region really belongs to China, because it’s really a part of Tibet, which really belongs to China, because China isn’t big enough yet. They fought a war on this in 1962, which I bet you didn’t know about. I didn’t. You know who did? The families of the 2000 soldiers who died! Ha! Man, what a crazy world. Anyway, they’re both nuclear, both big and hungry countries, still growing; throw Pakistan into the mix, and we’ve got what one might call a plumb innerestin’ sitchiation. Yes, probably all of Asia will be a nuclear cauldron in the near future!
4. A New Housing Bubble?
I think it’s just wonderful that we live in a country where people not only can have a small mansion surrounded by a tiny strip of grass, then a hundred other duplicate mansions, but expect such a thing. It’s awesome to visit other countries such as Korea, where everyone lives in giant filing cabinet apartment towers, or Southeast Asia, where you have your choice between a filing cabinet and a shanty, or even Europe, where the wealthy have really nice apartments, but apartments still, and then to go home to the US where people complain that their house is only 1500 square feet and really they should be in the house they deserve. Who knows why they deserve it? Dammit, don’t knock this sense of entitlement. It built this country. Manifest Destiny is self-entitlement writ continental. It’s freaking amazing what we can do when we think we deserve something. We wouldn’t have Texas, or California, or everything in between. God gave us that half of the continent; God wants us to have a 3000 square foot McMansion, and the government is helping out. The new housing bubble, says the New York Times, is probably caused by the government backing loans to unqualified borrowers via the Federal Housing Administration. Remember how spectacularly the last housing bubble burst? Imagine that, but instead of leveling the banks, it levels the government. Wow!
Why does no one want to make realistic disaster movies? Disaster porn like 2012 is all well and good, apparently, but no one wants to chronicle the orgasmically destructive collapse of America’s banks and the economy thus powered. I guess it’s more uplifting to watch someone crushed by volcanic ejecta than, say, a retired couple staring down the bleak barrel of impoverished life after Wall Street vaporizes their retirement funds. Real disaster is even more poignant, Hollywood, and thus riper for exploitation! Get on it!
5. The Civilian Surge Fizzles.
Robert Gates and Obama would like to send you to Afghanistan. USAID is the government’s international development branch, and they send civilians to help development infrastructure in countries where the infrastructure has been bombed to shit.
Hard to be cynical about this! It’s not only humane, but necessary - as “Charlie Wilson’s War” pointed out, if we don’t do this, it’ll come back to bite us in the ass later. It’s a fine thing to kick the Russians out of Afghanistan (back in the 80s), but if we don’t build schools, teach them how to farm, try to move them out of preindustrial life, then they’ll be ripe and ready for, say, a scary unthinking fundamentalist hate group to take over the government.
Here’s the cynicism! No one signed up. The military has had to fill most of the roles that State Department or USAID might, and the military, as Tom Clancy pithily pointed out, is not good at these things; they are good at breaking things and killing people. We are failing the Afghanis on this front, and it’s unlikely to turn around. Would you like to be paid 40k a year to go to Afghanistan if you don’t even get to shoot people? Of course not. I guess we’ll leave national reconstruction in the hands of the increasingly thuggish Karzai government.
Fun fact: Afghanistan is often classified as a Fourth World country, meaning that it not only has no development, but no prospects for development. Also, I can’t wait until I move back to the states and buy a 2500 square foot house. I want to get one with a big garage so my band can practice there. (I need to buy a new guitar amp, too!) It’d be nice to have an office and a library, but I’m not greedy.
This is getting long. Let’s split it in two.
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